Wednesday, November 01, 2006

This week against the lines - 11/04

Every week, I will pick out some games and bet against the line. Here are this week's picks taken from LasVegas.com
Louisville vs West Virginia (Louisville favored by 1) - The week's premier game and a huge one for national title implications. The winner is BCS points away from the national title. I happen to think too many people have jumped on the Big East bandwagon but there is little doubt that both these teams are good ballclubs. An impressive win by either team earns them the legitimate right to play for the national title. Louisville has looked vulnerable lately and Brian Brohm is still trying to get back to form which means they may not be able to score at the rate they need to. And they need to score. West Virginia is good for at least 30 in this game and Pat White has looked comfortable throwing when he has had to. West Virginia's defense is nothing to write home about but against an injured Louisville team, it may be good enough.

West Virginia 34-27

Northwestern at Iowa (Iowa favored by 20) - Have a weird feeling about this one. Just do not see Iowa winning by that much.

Purdue at michigan St. (Michigan St. by 2) - Really. Who wants anything to do with a Michigan St game?

Indiana at Minnesota (Minnesota by 5) Indiana is underdog to a team that was destroyed last week by ohio St. and almost lost to North Dakota St. The betters must know something I do not. Indiana covers.

Georgia Tech at NC St - (Georgia Tech by 6) NC State is a much better team at home. Georgia Tech has all but locked up its division and may not show up 100%. NC State.

Maryland at Clemson - (Clemson by 16) Maryland is the most rapidly improving team in the conference and Clemson is playing for its life. Clemson has destroyed bad teams but the Terps are not Temple. Terps cover.

North Carolina at Notre Dame (Notre Dame by 28) - Brady Quinn and boys looked good against Navy last week but they seem to allow big dogs to hang around at home. North Carolina plays inspired and keeps it from being a rout.

LSU at Tennessee - Volunteers favored by 3. LSU does not shoot itself in the foot and wins the game outright.

UCLA at California - California by 17. Longshore and company make a big BCS statement and jump back into the national spotlight.

Ohio St at Illinios - Ohio st. favored by 27. Illinois may not win a lot but they have not been getting blown out. Illinois just needs to avoid early mistakes to cover the line.

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